PALAVRAS: Simon Danczuk
Quero deixar você entrar em segredo. Os parlamentares não gostam de lutar contra eleições. É arriscado, precário, exaustivo e muitas vezes infeliz, há pouca diversão genuína e, no final, há uma chance muito real de você estar sem emprego. Você pode multiplicar os níveis normais de angústia e desespero de MP, durante uma eleição, por 100 para obter uma leitura precisa de seu estado emocional atual apenas ao vislumbrar a situação política atual. A incapacidade de entregar o resultado do referendo, que eles prometeram, trouxeram vergonha à nossa política. Como resultado, muitos assentos trabalhistas geralmente considerados seguros agora são vulneráveis. Não é surpreendente que tantos deputados não estejam buscando reeleição desta vez. Boris Johnson estava e continua silenciosamente confiante de que a maioria do público deseja fazer o Brexit e está feliz em testar isso em uma eleição geral. Mas ele também vê essa eleição, que a maioria concorda que ele tem praticamente zero chance de ganhar completamente, como uma fonte potencial de alívio? O líder do partido mais improvável na história britânica moderna provavelmente receberia a oportunidade de retornar ao conforto das bancadas. Voltando aos níveis de pré-coalição. Uma aliança formal permanece foi criada, onde Lib Dems, Verdes e Cymru xadrez concordaram em ficar de lado em assentos importantes, para ajudar a realizar os parlamentares Remonser. Nigel Farage colocou o país antes do partido e retirou seus candidatos de assentos, onde os deputados conservadores estão defendendo seus círculos eleitorais, em uma plataforma para entregar o acordo de Boris Johnson no Brexit. Outras partes também retiraram os candidatos a comentários feitos nas mídias sociais e por várias razões. Eventos como esses não são apenas devastadores para os residentes locais, mas também podem ser devastadores para o partido pego do lado errado da discussão. Os eventos podem virar uma eleição, especialmente uma tão cheia e fechada assim.
And that’s during normal times. You can multiply a defending MP’s normal levels of distress and despair during an election by 100 to get an accurate reading of their current emotional state just by taking a glimpse at the current political situation.
I suspect you won’t be too sympathetic to these politicians who made up one of the most dysfunctional Parliaments in recent times. Their inability to deliver the referendum result, which they had promised, has brought shame on our politics. As a result, many Labour seats usually considered safe are now vulnerable.
Few will be brave enough to say to their constituents “I stand on my record”, as politicians once did. It is unsurprising that so many MPs are not seeking re-election this time.
But there were some MPs keen to go to the country. Boris Johnson was, and remains, quietly confident that most of the public want to get Brexit done and is happy to test this in a General Election.
Jeremy Corbyn initially welcomed calls to go to the country because he enjoys the campaigning and the rallies of supporters cheering his name. But does he also see this election, which most would agree he stands virtually zero chance of winning outright, as a potential source of relief? The unlikeliest party leader in modern British history would probably welcome the opportunity of returning to the comfort of the backbenches.
The Liberal Democrat’s Jo Swinson, a young new leader bolstered by several high-profile defections in recent months, also wanted to go to the people because she believes, probably correctly, that they can get a sizeable chunk of the 48% of 2016 Remain voters and make significant Parliamentary gains, possibly returning to pre-Coalition levels.
And finally there’s the Scottish National Party, who can realistically expect to make significant gains and claim back several seats they lost to the Conservatives in 2017.
So, it’s a complex picture which gets more complicated with each passing day. A formal remain alliance has been created, where Lib Dems, Greens and Plaid Cymru have agreed to stand aside in key seats, to help get Remainer MPs elected. Nigel Farage put the country before party and withdrew his candidates from seats where Conservative MPs are defending their constituencies, standing on a platform to deliver Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal.
The far left within Labour have used the snap election to push extremist candidates into many safe Labour seats, only to have some withdrawn because of the discovery of anti-Semitic remarks made on social media in their past. Other parties have also withdrawn candidates for comments made on social media, and for a variety of reasons.
The floods in South Yorkshire have pushed the Prime Minister on the back foot, with Corbyn and Swinson calling for more assistance and claiming Conservative cuts in public spending have exacerbated the problem. Events like these are not only devastating for local residents, but they can also be devastating for the party caught on the wrong side of the argument. Events can turn an election, especially one as fraught and close as this.
Então, deixe -me entrar em outro segredo. Muitos parlamentares que frustraram o Brexit ficarão silenciosamente felizes no momento. Downtown in Business
The current furore over this, that, and the other, is distracting from their Parliamentary record and might just help their voters forget that they didn’t deliver what they’d promised.
Simon Danczuk is the chairman of Downtown in London and a former Member of Parliament