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O que precisa acontecer
A linha dos corbynistas é que o problema era o Brexit. Sem essa distração, em 2024, os eleitores perdidos do norte retornarão em massa para apoiar o programa neo marxista que estava em oferta desta vez, juntamente com as promessas para usuários de banda larga e mulheres vespas que não estavam orçadas. O líder trabalhista era tão grande quanto o Brexit nas portas do norte. Ignorar isso tem todas as marcas de 2016, quando Londres não tinha conhecimento do sentimento esquerdo para trás no norte que desencadeou o Brexit. Deixe o trabalho de cozinhar em seu suco marxista e observe o que deve acontecer, mas não acontecerá. A promessa de revogação foi muito drástica e o estilo de Jo Swinson ralou. Sua derrota evitou os Lib Dems tomando uma decisão de liderança desajeitada.
This is mendacious nonsense from the London clique that surround Jeremy Corbyn. The Labour leader was as big an issue as Brexit on the northern doorsteps. Ignoring this has all the hallmarks of 2016 when London was unaware of the left behind feeling in the North that triggered Brexit.
Corbyn’s failure to deal with antisemitism, his past associations with the nation’s enemies and security concerns were big factors in leaving Labour with the fewest MPs since 1935.
Installing Rebecca Long Bailey won’t hack it, but Momentum won’t listen, so let’s leave Labour to stew in its Marxist juice and look at what ought to happen but won’t.
The Lib Dems had a bad campaign when such hopes rested on their shoulders to keep us in the EU. The Revoke promise was too drastic and Jo Swinson’s style grated. Her defeat has avoided the Lib Dems making an awkward leadership decision.
, mas eles têm uma pergunta muito mais fundamental para responder. A marca Lib Dem é uma descarga presa? Eles estariam preparados para olhar para a imagem mais ampla e ajudar a criar uma festa central verdadeiramente nova para impedir que os governos intermináveis conservadores? Tornaria -se como objetivo capturar a crescente preocupação com as mudanças climáticas, acreditar em uma agenda econômica progressiva, na reforma votando e um retorno à União Europeia. Nenhuma festa voltou de uma derrota tão pesada de uma só vez. Após uma eleição, quando os eleitores trabalhistas quebraram com a lealdade que voltarão aos seus avós, é demais esperar que os sindicatos moderados coloquem seu dinheiro e organização atrás de um partido que realmente possa ser eleito?
This would require a mass defection by moderate Labour MPs and an equally dramatic decision by the Green Party to subsume its identity to a new party. It would aim to capture the growing concern about climate change, believe in a progressive economic agenda, voting reform and a return to the European Union.
This party would crucially need the support of big trade unions who must realise that a Labour government is a very distant prospect. No party has come back from such a heavy defeat in one go.
Unite are beyond the pale, but what about the GMB and Unison. After an election when Labour voters have broken with loyalty stretching back to their grandfathers, is it too much to expect moderate unions to put their money and organisation behind a party that actually could get elected?
O que acontecerá
Labour will elect someone like Rebecca Long Bailey. The next leader won’t have the damaging baggage of Corbyn, but they will retain a devotion to a socialist programme that will never win over middle England. I also suspect that the antisemitism stain will be hard to remove. Moderates will grumble but bide their time hoping that after a defeat in 2024, the party will be desperate for a leader with New Labour values. Don’t count on it.
The Greens and Lib Dems will put their own party identities before brave strategic rethinking.
The net result will be that the left remains hopelessly split whilst the Tories win time after time.
Haul the EU flag down
England, and I mean England, has voted much more decisively than in 2016 to leave the EU. I still believe it is profoundly the wrong decision, but English people believe their NHS, social care, policing, immigration, schools and sovereignty will all be helped by being out of the EU. We shall see, but we are out on Jan 31 ST e é isso. Eleição.
The only hope now is that the Prime Minister will negotiate as soft a Brexit as possible as he will be free of the influence of the Tory Brexiteer extremists.
Johnson’s upbeat campaign was well fought and brought a smile to people’s faces in this gloomy winter election.
Ele agora lidera uma festa com muito mais parlamentares do norte. Os conservadores dizem que estão comprometidos com mais gastos públicos e devolução à esquerda para trás para o norte. anos. O acordo de Johnson no Brexit com seus controles de fronteira no mar irlandês toca nas mãos daqueles que desejam uma Irlanda Unida. Essa pode ser a realidade da eleição 2019. column_border_radius = "None" width = "1/3 ″ tablet_text_alignment =" default "Phone_text_alignment =" Default "Column_border_width =" None " column_border_style = "sólido"] [vc_raw_html] jtndySuymghyzwylm0qlmjjodhrwcyuzqsuyriuyrnr3ax R0zxiuy29TJTJGSMlTSGFUY29JA1VLJTNGCMVMX3NYYYUZRHR3C3JJJTI1NUV0ZNCLMJILMJBJBGFZCYUZRCUYM nr3axr0zxitzm9sbg93lwj1dhrvbiuymiuymgrHdgetC2HVDY1JB3VUDCUZRCUMMMZHBHNLJTIYJTNFRM9SBG93 JtiwjtqWSMlTSGFUY29JA1VlJTNDJTJGYSUZRSUZQ3NJCMLWDCUYMGFZEW5JJTIWC3JJJTNEJTIYAHR0CHMLM0E lmkylmkzwbgf0zm9ybs50d2l0dgvylmnvbsuyrndpzgdldhmuanMlMjilmjbjagfyc2v0jtnejtiydxrmltglmj Ilm0ulm0mlmkzzy3jpchqlm0u = [/vc_raw_html] [vc_raw_html] jtndySuymgSyxnzjtnejtiydhdpdhrlci 10aw1LBGluzSUymiuymgrHDGETAGVPZ2H0JTNEJTIMYTAWMCUYMIUYMGHYZWYLM0QLMJJODHRWCYUZQSUYRIUYR nr3axr0zxIUy29TJTJGSMLTSGFUY29JA1VLJTNGCMVMX3NYYYUZRHR3C3JJJTI1NUV0ZCLMJILM0VUD2VLDHMLM JBIESUYMEPPBUHHBMNVY2TVSYUZQYUYRMELM0ULMJALM0NZY3JPCHQLMJBHC3LUYYUYMHNYYYUZRCUYMMH0DHBZ JtnbjtjgjTjgCgxHdgzvCM0UDHDPDHRlCI5JB20LMKZ3AWRNZXRZLMPZJTIYJTIWY2HHCnnldCUzrcUymnv0zi0 4jtiyjtnfjtndjtjgc2nyaxb0jtnfjtiw [/vc_raw_html] [vc_raw_html] jtndysUymghyzwylm0qlmjjodhr wcyuzqsuyriuyrnr3axr0zxiuy29tjtjgsmltsgfuy29Ja1vljtngcmvmx3nyyUzrhr3C3JJJti1Nuv0zClmji lmjbjbgfzcyUzrcuymnr3axr0zxitzm9sbg93lwj1dhrvbiuymiuymgrHdgetc2hvdy1jb3vudcUzrcUymmzhbh Nljtiyjtnfrm9sbg93jtiwjtqWSmlTSGFUY29JA1VlJTNDJTJGYSUZRSUZQ3NJCMLWDCUYMGFZEW5JJTIWC3JJ Tnejtiyahr0chmlm0elmkylmkzwbgf0zm9ybs50d2l0dgvylmnvbsuyrndpzgdldhmuanMlMjilmjbjagfyc2v0 Jtnejtiydxrmltglmjilm0ulm0mlmkzzy3jpchqlm0u = [/vc_raw_html] [/vc_column] [/vc_row]
Let’s hope they deliver because nobody else is going to help us, certainly not Labour sitting in endless parliamentary impotence.
Scotland and Ireland
Politics could get a lot duller now as Brexit will be all about endless trade negotiations rather than the high drama of recent years.
The flash points could be Scottish demands for an independence referendum after the SNPs good showing.
Northern Ireland returned a majority of non-Unionist MPs for the first time. Johnson’s Brexit deal with its border controls in the Irish Sea plays into the hands of those wanting a united Ireland.
Before long the Tories could be ruling just England and Wales, cut off from Europe and dependent on Trumps America and Chi’s China for deals. That could be the reality of Election 2019.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][vc_column column_padding=”no-extra-padding” column_padding_position=”all” background_color_opacity=”1″ background_hover_color_opacity=”1″ column_shadow=”none” column_border_radius=”none” width=”1/3″ tablet_text_alignment=”default” phone_text_alignment=”default” column_border_width=”none” column_border_style=”solid”][vc_raw_html]JTNDYSUyMGhyZWYlM0QlMjJodHRwcyUzQSUyRiUyRnR3aXR0ZXIuY29tJTJGSmltSGFuY29ja1VLJTNGcmVmX3NyYyUzRHR3c3JjJTI1NUV0ZnclMjIlMjBjbGFzcyUzRCUyMnR3aXR0ZXItZm9sbG93LWJ1dHRvbiUyMiUyMGRhdGEtc2hvdy1jb3VudCUzRCUyMmZhbHNlJTIyJTNFRm9sbG93JTIwJTQwSmltSGFuY29ja1VLJTNDJTJGYSUzRSUzQ3NjcmlwdCUyMGFzeW5jJTIwc3JjJTNEJTIyaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZwbGF0Zm9ybS50d2l0dGVyLmNvbSUyRndpZGdldHMuanMlMjIlMjBjaGFyc2V0JTNEJTIydXRmLTglMjIlM0UlM0MlMkZzY3JpcHQlM0U=[/vc_raw_html][vc_raw_html]JTNDYSUyMGNsYXNzJTNEJTIydHdpdHRlci10aW1lbGluZSUyMiUyMGRhdGEtaGVpZ2h0JTNEJTIyMTAwMCUyMiUyMGhyZWYlM0QlMjJodHRwcyUzQSUyRiUyRnR3aXR0ZXIuY29tJTJGSmltSGFuY29ja1VLJTNGcmVmX3NyYyUzRHR3c3JjJTI1NUV0ZnclMjIlM0VUd2VldHMlMjBieSUyMEppbUhhbmNvY2tVSyUzQyUyRmElM0UlMjAlM0NzY3JpcHQlMjBhc3luYyUyMHNyYyUzRCUyMmh0dHBzJTNBJTJGJTJGcGxhdGZvcm0udHdpdHRlci5jb20lMkZ3aWRnZXRzLmpzJTIyJTIwY2hhcnNldCUzRCUyMnV0Zi04JTIyJTNFJTNDJTJGc2NyaXB0JTNFJTIw[/vc_raw_html][vc_raw_html]JTNDYSUyMGhyZWYlM0QlMjJodHRwcyUzQSUyRiUyRnR3aXR0ZXIuY29tJTJGSmltSGFuY29ja1VLJTNGcmVmX3NyYyUzRHR3c3JjJTI1NUV0ZnclMjIlMjBjbGFzcyUzRCUyMnR3aXR0ZXItZm9sbG93LWJ1dHRvbiUyMiUyMGRhdGEtc2hvdy1jb3VudCUzRCUyMmZhbHNlJTIyJTNFRm9sbG93JTIwJTQwSmltSGFuY29ja1VLJTNDJTJGYSUzRSUzQ3NjcmlwdCUyMGFzeW5jJTIwc3JjJTNEJTIyaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZwbGF0Zm9ybS50d2l0dGVyLmNvbSUyRndpZGdldHMuanMlMjIlMjBjaGFyc2V0JTNEJTIydXRmLTglMjIlM0UlM0MlMkZzY3JpcHQlM0U=[/vc_raw_html][/vc_column][/vc_row]
