On the eve of the Premier League season I thought it was appropriate to use a football analogy, so I told the BBC “A No Deal Brexit is like telling a Liverpool supporter that they are losing Jurgen Klopp and Sam Allardyce is coming in. So, they won’t be relegated, but they’ll lose more than they win and it won’t be nice to watch.”
Deve-se dizer que, nos últimos sete dias, a probabilidade de um Brexit 'Crash Out' parece ter aumentado e, com ela, a arrogância de arqui-Brexiteers. Dominic Cummings tão sutila quanto um dos punhos dos gêmeos Kray e foi blasé sobre a perspectiva de seu novo chefe Boris Johnson ignorar a vontade de nosso parlamento "soberano" se os deputados não serem relevantes para se tornar um movimento de "não confiança" no governo. O ex -chanceler Norman Lamont, que presidiu as taxas de juros de 15% e colocou vários pregos no caixão do governo de John Major através de sua lamentável administração financeira, admitiu que tal ocorrência levaria a uma desaceleração que ele descreveu como um "mundo". Mas para os pais solteiros em Wigan, que estão tentando reivindicar crédito universal, coloque comida na mesa e mantenha as luzes em um 'brilho' as enviará sobre o limite. Os constituintes que voam de licença para dizer "eu te disse" e voto da maneira certa para o interesse nacional, e não em seu interesse pessoal ou no interesse de seu partido político. China. Quando o centavo começa a cair, vamos ver se eles são tão presunçosos no final de outubro. Eles acham que tudo acabou ... não tenho certeza se está.
Leavers are also starting to become relaxed enough to admit the economic consequences of a No deal scenario. Former chancellor Norman Lamont, who presided over interest rates of 15% and put several nails into the John Major government coffin through his woeful financial stewardship, conceded that such an occurrence would lead to a downturn that he described as a “blip”.
Of course, a ‘blip’ in Mr. Lamont’s world means having one less bottle of Chablis a week. But for the single parent in Wigan who is trying to claim Universal Credit, put food on the table and keep the lights on a ‘blip’ will send them over the edge.
Over the next month the true consequences of No Deal Brexit will emerge as the government becomes more arrogant in its certainty that people voted in the referendum to become poorer.
In my view, that will make it much easier for Labour MPs in Leave-voting constituencies to say “I told you so” and vote the right way for the national interest rather than in their personal interest or in the interests of their political party.
Cummings, Rees Mogg and co will feel extremely smug at the moment as they bully civil servants, correct the grammar of those who work for them and draft speeches for Lis Truss about the UK selling more pork chops to China.
However, they should not underestimate the rich seam of common sense that runs through Brits DNA. As the penny starts to drop, let’s see if they’re as smug come the end of October. They think it’s all over… I’m not sure it is.
